On the last day of this Corona-Virus-shortened ski season the Town of Jackson and the Jackson Hole Mountain Resort both broke snowfall records. That happened just when we thought spring was arriving early this March.
Town Snowfall Record:12 inches of new snow was recorded at the Jackson Climate Station on the morning of March 15th, 2020. That 24-hour snowfall was recorded between 9am Saturday & 9am Sunday, March 14 to 15. That broke the old record for this date of 5.5 inches in 2006.
That also exceeds the previous “official” one-day snowfall record for the month of March in the Town of Jackson of 10 inches, from March 17, 1971. Jackson only averages 11 inches of snow for the entire month of March.
Note: There is one other snowfall recording from March 12th, 1906 that showed 12 inches in one day, and another from March 25th, 1907 that showed 14 inches in one day. These recordings are not from the Town of Jackson, but from an unverified location on a ranch outside of town, possibly near Ely Springs.
Precipitation: In the precipitation department, the Jackson Climate Station received 1.15 inches of water in that snow recorded on Sunday morning March 15th, 2020. That is the second greatest one-day precipitation amount ever recorded in one-day during the month of March, behind March 3rd, 1995, when 1.80 inches was recorded.
Data sheet from Jackson Climate Station
JHMR Snowfall Record:At the Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, at the Rendezvous Bowl Site ( 9,580-ft.) 23 inches of snow was recorded on the morning of March 15, 2020. (measured from 5am Saturday to 5am Sunday March 14 to 15). That exceeds the old one-day snowfall record up there for that date of 16 inches, from March 15, 2016.
Data from Bridger-Teton National Forest
The Storm that Brought The Snow
Below is a Satellite Image showing the Low-pressure that is parked along the Northwest Coast rotating Pacific moisture inland from California to Wyoming the last 2 days. The center of that Low will shift south along the West Coast the next 2 days, bringing Jackson, WY lesser amounts of snow trough the early part of the coming week.
You may not be aware of it, but today, February 5th is National Weatherpersons Day. Celebrate with your favorite meteorologist, buy him or her a beer! This is also the beginning of a steady Northwesterly flow or “Dirty Ridge” event for the northern Rockies.
As a Ridge of High pressure parks off the West Coast and a stream of moisture rides up and over the top of that Ridge, it mixes with relatively cool air from the Gulf of Alaska to make a good period of orographically enhanced snowfall.
In layperson’s terms, that means the mountains get a good dump of relatively low-density powder. Situation and snowfall accumulation forecasts below.
Satellite Wednesday AM
Wednesday Morning Satellite view with flow in black and Ridge marked with blue H.
Short-Term Snow Forecast: Wednesday
This model might be over-forecasting the snow a bit…
Longer Term Snow Forecasts: Wednesday-Saturday
I will update this again Thursday, as a good looking little Low-pressure system moves into Washington & Oregon, bringing a West to NW flow over western Wyoming later in the weekend. That’ll keep the powder coming.
If you lived in Jackson for the last 12 months or so and I were to ask you to name three things you remember about the weather in 2019, the top three answers likely would be: 1) February was really snowy. 2) Summer was too short. 3) October was really cold.
Correct on all counts. But what you really wouldn’t know, without running all the numbers, was that 2019 was the coldest year ever recorded in Jackson, WY.
I could hardly believe it myself when I first sat down to compile the weather stats from 2019. I ran the numbers three times, I went back and dove deeper into Jackson’s weather records. I checked, double-checked and triple-checked, but there it was, 2019 ended up the undisputed champion, now holding the title as the “Coldest Year on Record”, for all of the years that we have complete weather records.
High
Temperatures 2019
The
average high temperature for the entire year in 2019 was 49-degrees. That is a
full five degrees colder than the long-term historic average annual high of 54-degrees.
That
made 2019 the new record holder for the coldest annual maximum temperature in
Jackson. The old record was 50.4-degrees, from more than 50 years ago, in 1968.
Also
of note, every month of the year in 2019 had colder than normal average high
temperatures, except November, which ended up right at the long-term average.
October
2019 blew its average high temperature record off the charts, with an average
high temperature for the month that was 13 degrees colder than the long-term
average.
With
all those cold temperatures, perhaps you had forgotten that the hottest day of
the year was on July 23rd, 2019, when it reached 87-degrees.
Low
Temperatures 2019
The
average low temperature for all of 2019 was 22-degrees (21.73-degrees to be
exact). That is one degree colder than the long-term historic average of
23-degrees.
In
2019, there were only three months that had an above average minimum
temperature, April, July and September. June and August came in right at normal
for monthly low temperatures.
The coldest day of the year in 2019 was 25-degrees below zero on January 1st. Also of note was the coldest temperature ever recorded in the month of October, when it dropped to 6-degrees below zero on October 30, 2019. I’ll repeat, that is the coldest temperature ever recorded in Jackson in October.
Last year ranked as the 10th coldest year on record for annual minimum temperature. Nothing too remarkable there.
What was remarkable, was how many days of below zero temperatures Jackson experienced in 2019, 62 days. It ranked as the 3rd most days in a calendar year, in our recorded history. The last time we had that many below zero temperature readings was in 1952.
Below is a graph of the number of days each year that the minimum temperature was below zero Fahrenheit.
Mean
Temperature 2019
If
you take the average of all the high temperatures and all the low temperatures for
the year, you get what is called the annual mean temperature. This is perhaps
the best gauge of the overall temperature for the entire year.
In 2019 the mean temperature for the year was precisely 35.36-degrees. Rounding that number up to one decimal point, to 35.4 degrees, it still beats the old record.
The
old record coldest year in Jackson was 1944, which had a mean temperature of
35.5 degrees. The average high temperature that year was 51.5-degrees and the
average low temperature was 19.4-degrees.
Keep in mind, to be in the competition for coldest or warmest year ever, you need 12 full months of complete weather data. There are many years, in the last 100 years, with too many missing days or months of data to even be considered as a qualifier.
It is the annual mean temperature that distinguishes 2019 as the coldest year ever recorded in Jackson.
Below is a graph of all the years which had complete records, spanning from the earliest year 1923, through the latest year 2019.
From this graph it is quite obvious that the 1990’s to early 2000’s were some of the warmest years and that the 1950’s to early 1970’s were some of the coldest. The all-time warmest annual mean temperature in Jackson’s climate record was 47.5 degrees, back in 1933.
Precipitation Above Normal, Again
We
are now into our fourth year in-a-row that the Town of Jackson has experienced
wetter than normal conditions, by an annual measure.
Jackson’s
long-term average annual precipitation is 15.83 inches. In 2019, the total precipitation
in town was 18.17 inches.
It
should be noted that in January of 2019 there was over two weeks when
precipitation and snowfall were not measured, due to the government shutdown.
So, the numbers for these annual totals are a bit lower than what actually
accumulated.
Fortunately,
the temperature record was complete, because a number of years ago the NWS
switched the climate stations over to a digital recording temperature system.
2019 Snowfall Highlights
Total
snowfall in the year 2019, from January through December, was 111 inches, not
including the snowfall that was missed in mid-January. That is still well above
the long-term average annual snowfall in town by nearly three feet! The
long-term average annual snowfall in town is 77 inches.
That
also makes it four years in-a-row with above normal annual snowfall in the Town
of Jackson. Keep in mind, the annual snowfall number spans parts of two
different winters.
February
2019 saw record breaking snowfall, with 55 inches in town. That blew away the
old snowfall record for February of 33 inches, set back in 1978.
That
55 inches was also the second snowiest month ever recorded in town, falling
just shy of the 56 inches that accumulated in January 1969. And February is a
short month!
Jackson Hole Mountain Resort also experienced their snowiest February on record, with 149 inches. That was also their second snowiest month ever recorded, behind December of 1996, which had 225 inches.
Winter Snowfall History
A better way to look at snowfall numbers is to use totals from the actual winter season. Graphs of winter season snowfall are shown below, for the Town of Jackson and the Jackson Hole Mountain Resort.
Winter 2018-19 was the 6th snowiest in Jackson’s history.
Winter 2018-19 was the 5th snowiest winter in Jackson Hole Mountain Resort’s historical records, kept since 1974-75.
Summary
It was an amazing feat to string together 12 consecutive months to crown 2019 as the coldest year ever recorded in Jackson. That, in a year which was also wetter and snowier than normal. A very memorable year, with some new records that will be hard to beat.
If you study the graphs provided, it is easy to see the recent trends in Jackson’s historic weather records. Over the last 5 to 15 years, they carry a theme of colder temperatures, more annual precipitation and more snowfall.
If
you are a frequent Weather Channel watcher, you have probably heard the terms
they use to describe a variety of winter storms, such as, “Atmospheric
Rivers”, “Polar Vortexes” and “Bomb Cyclones”. All of
which sound quite ominous! It reminds me of that line in the Wizard of Oz,
“Lions and Tigers and Bears, Oh My!”
From my perspective, these terms are used to create a state of panic, to get you to stay tuned-in. It’s what some meteorologists refer to as, the “atmosfear”. If you can make it sound like some sort of weather Armageddon is coming, then perhaps more people will keep watching.
In
this week’s column, I’ll explain some of these fearsome terms you might hear
about this winter and perhaps calm some of your fears.
Atmospheric River
An “Atmospheric River” is simply a continuous feed of moisture, for example, from the eastern Pacific into the western United States. Generally, that moisture is carried along in a strong jet stream flow. If that river of moisture lines up over you, expect several days in a row of continuous precipitation, in the form of rain or snow, depending on temperatures.
Atmospheric River, March 2016
Another
term you may have heard in the past is, “Pineapple Express”. That doesn’t sound too bad, could be a name
for a tropical drink you might order in a bar. The pineapple express is also an
atmospheric river.
Atmospheric
river sounds much more threatening, thus the recent switch in terminology used
in the media.
Polar
Vortex
The “Polar Vortex” is more often an eastern United States phenomenon. All it is really, is a deep, cold trough of low-pressure in the atmosphere, which brings very cold air much further south than normal. But that’s too many words and doesn’t sound nearly as sexy as just saying, “Polar Vortex”.
Graphic from NOAA
Cold
air that originates up near the north pole, is the polar part. The low-pressure
is the vortex part of the name. All low-pressure systems or storm systems are
vortexes. That is, any cyclonically rotating (counterclockwise) area of lower
pressure in the Northern Hemisphere is a vortex. Again, that isn’t a very
catchy way to describe it.
If
you wanted to, you could call it a “Polar Cyclone” and make it sound
even scarier.
Bomb
Cyclone
Cyclone is yet another term used to describe a low-pressure system or any storm. The term “Bomb Cyclone” refers to a center of low-pressure that has a precipitous drop in its central pressure in a short time. The criteria for calling it a bomb is, 24 millibars of pressure decrease in less than 24 hours. An average drop in pressure for a developing storm is about half that rate.
Bomb Cyclone on Oregon Coast November 2019
A
bomb cyclone, or “bombogenesis”, as it is also known in meteorology,
is simply a rapidly intensifying low-pressure system. They usually form along
either the Northwest or Northeast Coasts of the United States. A bomb cyclone
hit the Oregon Coast this past Thanksgiving.
Don’t
be Scared
All
of these three terms I just described have been around and known to
meteorologists since about the 1950’s. Media outlets, like The Weather Channel,
love to use them to help sensationalize the weather. Having catchy monikers
helps reel you in.
The
Weather Channel has also adopted the practice of naming winter storms, in the
same manner the National Weather Service names hurricanes during the summer.
The NWS does not give official names to winter storms, by the way.
Often
times, all it amounts to is just another a winter storm, like many winter
storms that we get in Wyoming, or anywhere else in the country for that matter.
Don’t
be afraid, it’s just the weather, doing what weather does. There is nothing new
or more severe about it just because it has been given a sexy name.
The National Weather Service issues watches and warnings, those are what you should pay attention to this winter season. They will let you know when the potential exists for severe weather that might hamper travel. Those are the days when it is best to just stay home and hunker down by the fire instead of heading outside where there might be lions and tiger and bears, oh my!
Post by metetorlogist Jim Woodmencey
This article originally appeared in the Jackson Hole News & Guide on December 31, 2019.